Russia: In January, wheat exports are expected to be 13% less than last year

Published 2024년 1월 30일

Tridge summary

Russian wheat supplies in January are projected to be 13% lower than the same period last year, totaling around 3.7 million tons due to reduced export rates. This is expected to result in high wheat stocks and a surge in export volumes come spring. However, wheat reserves are slightly lower than the previous year, with a surplus in the South due to a drop in exports in November and December 2023. Over the past week, export prices for Russian wheat have decreased by $3, now standing at $237 per ton FOB.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

In January, wheat supplies from Russia are expected to be approximately 3.7 million tons, which is 13% less than the level of January last year (4.26 million tons). Interfax reports this with reference to data from the Rusagrotrans analytical center. Analysts note that low export rates in January will lead to continued high wheat stocks and an increase in export volumes in the spring, when weather conditions become more favorable. According to Rosstat, by January 1, wheat reserves amounted to 21.8 million tons, which is slightly less than a year earlier (22.1 million tons). In the South, reserves are 4.4% higher at 5.4 million tonnes, mainly due to strong performance in export-oriented regions such as the Krasnodar Territory and the Rostov Region. At the same time, in the North Caucasus Federal District, reserves decreased by 11% due to a decrease in gross harvest in the Stavropol Territory. According to Rusagrotrans analysts, high balances in the South are associated with a ...
Source: AgroInvestor

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