Indian government data reports a significant decrease in wheat stocks in government warehouses, dropping by half from the previous year, with only 21 million tonnes available on November 1, down from 42 million tonnes the year before. Although slightly surpassing the official target of 20.5 million tonnes for the quarter ending December 31, this represents a substantial decline from the 22.7 million tonnes recorded in October. This reduction could potentially limit the government's ability to regulate wheat prices by releasing stocks, as prices have risen despite a export ban and slow market arrivals. However, favorable weather conditions during the harvest season could lead to a recovery in wheat output to pre-pandemic levels. Meanwhile, local wheat prices have reached a record high of 26,500 rupees a tonne, an increase of nearly 27% since the export ban.