Market projections for EU meat until 2035

Pork consumption in the EU is challenged by sustainability concerns and is therefore expected to decline by 0.4% per year, falling to 30 kg by 2035. Intensive pork production systems will likely face more criticism from society, contributing to a decline in pork production in the EU. African swine fever is presumed to remain in the EU, but without any major or uncontrolled outbreaks. EU pork exports - which increased in the previous decade - are expected to decline by -338,000 t between the 2022/24 average and 2035 due to a recovery in pork production in Asian countries. Accounting for EU export volumes from 2024, these are expected to remain roughly stable until 2035. Pork prices may remain higher than previous levels due to rising costs and reduced supply in the EU. Beef production is expected to decline due to sustainability concerns, low profitability and a stricter regulatory framework. Likewise, beef consumption is expected to decline, driven by tight supply and high prices. ...