Minas Gerais is set to achieve a record sugarcane harvest of 81.8 million tons in the 2024/25 season, marking a slight increase from the previous harvest despite potential weather-related challenges. This expansion in production is supported by a 2.3% growth in cultivation area, despite a slight drop in average yield per hectare. However, the impact of a prolonged drought on the sector remains uncertain, with the potential to affect not only sugarcane productivity but also the production of other sugarcane-derived products like sugar and ethanol. Despite significant investments and the operation of new factories, there are challenges in milling and concerns about the condition of the crop, which could impact the projected sugar production of 6 million tons. Conab also anticipates a decrease in total ethanol production to 3 billion liters, with variations in anhydrous and hydrated ethanol production.