NOAA Fisheries has developed new models to predict the impact of climate change on the Eastern Bering Sea, finding that several commercially important species are expected to shift their summer distributions. The study projects that most species will shift north by between 50 and 200 kilometers by 2080, with large declines in areas occupied by red king crab, snow crab, and northern rock sole. There will also be an increase in the area occupied by arrowtooth flounder, a predator of pollock. The models used 40 years of scientific surveys and a high-resolution oceanographic model to make more accurate predictions of how species could shift. The research will help NOAA Fisheries build on existing distribution modeling efforts and create more accurate predictions of how species will shift due to climate change.