The return of El Niño will end the fat years of Australian farmers

게시됨 2023년 4월 17일

Tridge 요약

Climate models predict that El Niño will end the triennium of La Niña by July, bringing potentially devastating effects for Australian farmers. The Australian Bureau of Meteorology anticipates that El Niño will suppress rainfall in eastern Australia during the winter and spring, with a positive Indian Ocean dipole making the situation even worse. This could lead to drought in eastern Australia, where most crops are grown, potentially dropping record harvests to five-year averages. The worst-case scenario could see a repeat of the 2019-2020 season, with a significantly reduced wheat harvest and a subsequent fall in exports. The article also notes that El Niño could impact crops in India and palm oil production in Indonesia and Malaysia. However, wetter weather is expected in the southern United States, where drought has been prevalent.

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원본 콘텐츠

Climate models say the El Niño threshold will be reached or exceeded by July, ending the triennium of La Niña, which does not bode well for Australian farmers. A message from the Australian Bureau of Meteorology on April 14 is transmitted by the online edition of The Western Producer. “El Niño usually suppresses rainfall in eastern Australia during the winter (June-August) and spring months,” the bureau said. The situation is exacerbated by the fact that most climate models predict a transition to a positive Indian Ocean dipole. "A positive dipole could dampen winter and spring rains across much of Australia, exacerbating the drying effect of El Niño," the bureau said. Australian farmers have enjoyed several record harvests in the last three years of La Niña. Producers received 39 million tons of wheat and 8.3 million tons of rapeseed, with five-year averages of 24.2 and 4.03 million tons, respectively. Drought is expected in eastern Australia, where most of the pulses, food wheat ...

출처: Zol