Three scenarios for European agriculture: Investments, climate, and without the CAP

A new study by the Joint Research Centre of the EU - JRC proposes three scenarios for what would happen to European agriculture under the predominance of certain conditions in agricultural policy. The study presents three scenarios: productivity and investments, environment and climate, and without CAP (NoCAP). Read more: The future CAP replaces the preliminary conditionality with new requirements for farmers The report presents two alternative scenarios based on different distributions of CAP funding: Productivity and investments: This scenario directs CAP support primarily towards interventions that improve productivity and competitiveness. Compared to the reference scenario in 2040, this leads to a 2.7% increase in EU agricultural production across all sectors, lower food prices, stronger trade results, and an improvement in the EU's trade balance by 2.7 billion euros. Although this approach would have minimal impact on employment, the pressure on the environment in the EU ...