India: Tur prices up 22% in the fourth quarter, may rise further on tight supply

Published 2023년 4월 14일

Tridge summary

Prices of mill-quality tur (arhar or pigeon peas) in India are expected to rise further due to a predicted decrease in domestic supply, with production likely to fall by 20-30% due to unseasonal rainfall and farmers shifting to other crops. This has led to a 22% increase in prices over the past three months and 32% over the past year. Daily supply of tur in key markets is expected to decrease by 25-30% this season. The monsoon performance will play a key role in determining food inflation trajectory in FY24. The rising prices of certain agriculture commodities and possible deficient monsoon rainfall due to El Nino could lead to further inflation in India.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

New Delhi: Prices of mill-quality tur (arhar or pigeon peas) have experienced a sharp increase in the March quarter and are expected to rise further, driven by an anticipated decrease in domestic supply. Tur production is expected to fall by 20-30% due to factors such as unseasonal rainfall in October and farmers shifting to cultivating crops such as soybean and cotton. This has raised concerns over insufficient stocks in the central pool and driven up tur prices by 22% in the past three months and 32% over the past year, industry officials said. Key wholesale markets in Maharashtra, the largest tur grower, reported mill-quality tur trading at ₹8,400-8,500 per quintal, against the minimum support price of ₹6,600 a quintal, according to spot market sources. This marks a significant increase from last year’s corresponding period, during which fair average quality (FAQ) tur variety was sold at ₹6,000-6,231 per quintal, as per data from the government’s agriculture marketing portal ...
Source: Livemint

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