US Department of Agriculture maintains Russia's wheat export forecast

Published 2024년 8월 13일

Tridge summary

The USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service maintains its forecast for Russia's wheat exports and harvest for the 2024/25 season. Despite smaller harvests in Russia and Ukraine, these countries are expected to maintain high wheat export levels due to competitive pricing. The report also reduces its forecast for feed grain and corn exports. Meanwhile, grain harvest forecasts vary from 128.8 to 132 million tons, with differences due to drought and improved harvest prospects in other regions. The Russian Grain Union and the Ministry of Agriculture maintain their grain harvest forecasts at 130 and 132 million tons, respectively.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

The Foreign Agricultural Service of the US Department of Agriculture (FAS USDA) in its August report maintained the forecast for wheat exports from Russia in the 2024/25 season at 48 million tons (55.5 million tons in the previous agricultural year), its harvest also remained the same - 83 million tons (91.5 million tons), while the forecast for the winter wheat harvest was reduced by 1.5 million tons, to 57.5 million tons, and the spring wheat harvest was also increased by 1.5 million tons, to 25.5 million tons. Carry-over stocks will be at the level of 6.7 million tons, as in the previous forecast (10.2 million tons in the 2023/24 season). American analysts do not take into account Crimea and new regions. "Despite smaller harvests in Russia and Ukraine, wheat exports from these countries are expected to remain high, since prices are competitive compared to EU price offers. The EU is likely to lose market share in some of its leading importers, including Morocco, Algeria, ...
Source: AgroInvestor

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