France is expected to receive enough rainfall to complete the sowing campaign with sufficient soil moisture for uniform emergence. However, Romania and Bulgaria could face localized stress due to a lack of rainfall, while Ukraine and southern Russia are experiencing critical soil moisture deficits. MATIF wheat remains supported by potential disruptions to Black Sea region trade and recent Moroccan wheat purchases. The European Commission reports a 31% decrease in EU soft wheat exports this season due to strong competition and reduced supply. In contrast, the USDA reports a significant improvement in the US winter wheat crop. Russian and Ukrainian farmers have settled over 98% and 96% of their planned winter crop areas, respectively, and export forecasts for Russian wheat have been raised to 5 million tons.