Four consecutive monthly rises were not enough to keep the cassava price uptrend. In November 2019, cassava price was down 7.4% in Brazil. On YTD it rose only by 33.3%, very close to the 32.6% devaluation level of the Brazilian currency 'Real'. However, after the reopening of the processing industry, many farmers started harvesting their crops again and loaded the market with offers. Producers of cassava intensified their harvest in the Brazilian state of Parana, which accounts for 60% of national production. From March 2020 to August 2020 many industries that use cassava starch and flour were closed, with a detrimental effect on the commercialization of the root when prices dropped significantly.
The Ministry of Agriculture is increasing cassava production through several ways to anticipate the scarcity of other food during the COVID-19 pandemic. The plan is to make cassava an alternative local food during the COVID-19 pandemic. The project which started in June 2020 will accommodate the demand for cassava that is expected to be increasing as many people might switch to cassava as their main food source because of its lower price.
More than 600 cassava farmers in Nebbi District, Uganda, are counting losses after a strange disease destroyed their plantations. This strange disease will affect the balance of supply and demand of cassava in Uganda starting from December 2020 as the yield will not fulfill the current demand in the market. The situation will mostly affect the supply of cassava products to the mini-factories and hence losses to both farmers and government and will continue to do so until the next cassava harvest.
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Cassava features among staple food products which are rather tolerant to crisis periods in terms of consumption. Given the fact that cassava is largely consumed in countries with low incomes as their main food and where it constitutes an affordable and important diet item, it is not expected that the COVID-19 pandemic will lead to a deep decrease in cassava consumption. It is more likely that people would cut the consumption of more expensive food items on the backdrop of lower incomes but keep the main diet element. In the medium term, therefore, population growth will continue to stimulate growth in demand for cassava.
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Global Cassava Market Is Expected to Successfully Resist the COVID Pandemic