Overview of the global grain and soybean market

Published 2023년 3월 20일

Tridge summary

The article reports on the global grain production outlook for the 2022/23 and 2023/24 marketing years, providing updates on various commodities including wheat, coarse grains, soybeans, rice, and pulses. For the 2022/23 marketing year, global grain production is expected to increase by 2 million tons to 2,250 million tons, largely due to an uptick in wheat production. However, global consumption is projected to decrease by 5 million tons, leading to an increase in end-of-period stocks. The production forecasts for soybeans and rice are also adjusted, with the global rice production estimated to increase by 7 million tons to 511 million tons, driven by higher consumption and stock forecasts. Looking ahead to the 2023/24 marketing year, a recovery in corn production and increased global crop production are expected, despite a decline in global rice consumption and stocks. Trade volumes are anticipated to see a slight increase, with specific projections highlighting record trade volumes for soybeans and rice. However, the article also notes a decrease in the IGC Grains and Oilseeds (GOI) index, indicating losses across commodities.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

Summary, Highlights 2022/23 global total grain production (wheat and coarse grains) is raised by 2 Mt/m m/m to 2,250 m mainly due to an increase in the forecast for wheat. Due to lower demand for corn, global consumption forecast is down 5Mt compared to the prior period, with end-of-period stocks (aggregate of relevant local marketing years) up 7Mt to 586Mt, reports oilworld.ru with a link to IGC. This review includes the Council's first complete set of forecasts for 2023/24. Global supply (production plus initial stocks) is projected to rise year on year, but with projected growth in demand, carryover stocks are projected to decline again. After two consecutive declines, the total trading volume may increase slightly in the coming season. Due to a further deterioration in the outlook in Argentina, global soybean production is forecast 8 mt below m/m to 370 mt (+4% y/y). With prospects for a sharp decline in refining in Argentina, total usage is down by 4mt, with inventories also ...
Source: Oilworld

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