A few thoughts by John Nalivka: U.S. beef trade

Published 2024년 11월 27일

Tridge summary

The article discusses the potential impact of tariffs, particularly on the agricultural sector, following the election of President-elect Trump. It highlights the meat industry's dependence on trade, both as an exporter and importer. The U.S. has seen a decrease in beef exports to China, which accounted for 16% of beef exports in the first nine months, due to high prices and a weak Chinese economy. Despite this, the value of beef exports has increased by 5% to $7.8 billion, driven by higher prices and a stronger dollar. Imports are projected to increase by 21% this year, followed by a 1% increase in 2025, due to high U.S. beef prices and a strong dollar. The article suggests that the new Trump administration's trade policies may have more complexity than initially indicated.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

U.S. trade has become a hot topic since President-elect Trump announced he would put tariffs on imported products from Mexico and Canada. Earlier he indicated he would place tariffs on Chinese products coming into the U.S. to level the playing field between the U.S. and China. This is a topic that immediately leads to analysis or speculation about the impact of tariffs, particularly since many, if not most of us are “free trade” thinkers and do not like tariffs. Beyond that, we are involved with an industry that realizes a substantial economic benefit from trade of which the meat industry is one – both exports and imports when viewed from the entire supply chain – producers and end users. From January through September, the U.S. exported 2.25 billion pounds of beef and while this figure is down 3 percent from a year earlier, the value of those exports including fresh, frozen, and chilled beef together with variety meats totaled $7.8 billion, a five percent increase over the prior ...

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