Agency MARS reduced again the yield forecasts of the main agricultural crops in the EU

Published 2024년 8월 28일

Tridge summary

The Crop Monitoring Service MARS has revised down its forecasts for EU cereal and maize yields due to worsening heat in southeastern Europe. The rapeseed yield is now forecasted at 3.07 t/ha, 3% lower than last year, and corn at 7.03 t/ha, 6% lower. Significant reductions were noted in Romania, Hungary, Bulgaria, and Greece, with Romania's corn yield dropping 18% and Hungary's 21% from last year. Abnormally warm weather is expected to persist, with some regions experiencing temperatures 8°C above the 1991-2023 average. The EU wheat yield forecast is down to 5.68 t/ha, 2% lower than last year, while barley is up 8% to 5.01 t/ha. Excessively wet weather in Western and Northern Europe has adversely affected winter wheat and barley yields, especially in the Baltic countries, France, the Benelux countries, and Germany.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

Crop monitoring service MARS on Monday again lowered its forecasts for the average EU cereal yield, as well as its forecast for maize production, as heat continued to worsen the condition of crops in southeastern Europe. Thus, compared to July estimates, the forecast of rapeseed yield has been reduced from 3.1 to 3.07 t/ha, which will be 3% lower than last year's figure. The corn yield forecast has been reduced from 7.24 to 7.03 t/ha, which will be 6% lower than last year's figure. The biggest downgrades were for Romania, which previously rivaled France as the EU's biggest corn producer, and for regions where the heat has coincided with limited access to water, such as Hungary, Bulgaria and Greece. For Romania, the corn yield forecast was reduced compared to July estimates from 4.08 to 3.83 t/ha (by 18% lower than last year), and for Hungary – from 6.77 to 6.46 t/ha (by 21 % lower than last year). In most of Romania, from July 1 to August 17, the temperature exceeded the norm by ...
Source: Graintrade

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