Canadian all-wheat forecast up slightly

Published 2025년 1월 31일

Tridge summary

Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) has released its preliminary outlook for 2025-26, predicting a decrease in the production of Canada's main field crops due to a drop in corn, canola, soybeans, and other crops, despite an increase in wheat, barley, and oats. All-wheat production is expected to rise by 0.2% to 35.025 million tonnes, with an increase in seeded and harvested areas, but a slightly lower yield. Wheat except durum production is projected to increase by 2.7% to 29.873 million tonnes, with a higher seeded and harvested area. However, durum production is expected to decrease by 12% to 5.152 million tonnes due to a reduction in seeded and harvested areas. Oat plantings are expected to increase due to a tight supply and demand balance and slower price decline. Canola production, on the other hand, is predicted to decrease by 2% to 17.5 million tonnes due to reduced seeding caused by declining prices, steady input costs, low late-fall soil moisture, and a slight increase in wheat prices.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

Production of Canada’s principal field crops is expected to decrease in 2025-26, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) said in its preliminary outlook for 2025-26 Canadian supply and demand. Forecasted increases in Canadian wheat, barley and oats were more than offset by decreases in corn, canola, soybeans and other crops. The outlook was contained in the January Canada: Outlook for Principal Field Crops. AAFC projected Canadian all-wheat production in 2025 at 35.025 million tonnes, up 67,000 tonnes, or 0.2%, from 34.958 million tonnes in 2024. The increase primarily was attributed to larger areas seeded to wheat and harvested, which more than offset a decline in forecasted all-wheat yield. The harvested area for all-wheat was projected at 10.806 million hectares, up 158,000 hectares from 10.648 million hectares in 2024. The average all-wheat yield in 2025 was forecast at 3.24 tonnes per hectare, compared with 3.28 tonnes per hectare in 2024 and 3.08 tonnes per hectare in ...

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