Canadian grain-production bonanza confirmed

Published 2025년 12월 11일

Tridge summary

The market has been trading a big Canadian winter crop for some months now, but the updated survey-based production estimates released by Statistics Canada late last week surpassed even the most optimistic of forecasts, with new records set for both wheat and canola output in 2025/26. In its final crop production report of the 2025/2026

Original content

season, the agency pegged all wheat production a tad shy of 40 million tonnes (Mt), 11.2 percent higher than last year and well above trade expectations of 38.5Mt. Canola output came in 13.3pc above the 2024 harvest at 21.8Mt, versus the pre-report trade forecast of 21.25Mt. The November 2025 principal field crop production survey was sent to approximately 27,200 Canadian farms and was conducted from October 3 to November 6, 2025. Farmers were asked to report their estimated seeded and harvested areas, yields, and production of grains, oilseeds and special crops. According to Statistics Canada, weather conditions in western Canada were quite variable throughout the growing season. Despite dry conditions in the early parts of the summer, timely rainfall later in the growing season improved the outlook considerably. The late-season replenishment of soil moisture reserves pushed yields and production to record highs in many regions. Harvest progress was generally good across the ...

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