China imports less rapeseed than previously expected

The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS USDA) has lowered its forecast for China’s canola imports in the 2025/2026 season from 4.1 million tons to 3.1 million tons, and for the 2024/2025 season from 4.0 million tons to 4.5 million tons. The main factor behind the downward revision of both forecasts is the trade tensions between Canada and China. Canada has been China’s largest canola supplier for the past two decades. However, in August 2025, Beijing announced the imposition of a temporary anti-dumping duty of 75.8% on canola imports. This duty must be paid upon import but will be collected as a deposit until a final determination is made. On September 5, the Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced an extension of the investigation until March 9, 2026, due to the complexity of the case. This would potentially allow for the presentation of new evidence that could lead to a different final decision. The temporary tariff will remain in place, effectively halting future imports of ...