Chinese tilapia prices drop again, industry chain under dual pressure of tariff shadow and high inventory.

Published 2025년 10월 25일

Tridge summary

Core tip: In the 43rd week of October 2025 (October 20-26), the Chinese tilapia market sees another round of price declines. In the main production areas of Guangdong and Guangxi, the farm gate price of tilapia weighing 500-800 grams dropped by 0.2 yuan/kg compared to the previous period, with the average price falling below the 7 yuan threshold (approximately 0.98 USD/kg), marking a new low for the year. The price in Hainan production areas remains stable at 7.00 yuan/kg, but industry insiders point out that this stability "looks more like a temporary respite," with overall market confidence still low.

Original content

Sufficient supply coupled with tariff uncertainties drives down ex-factory prices Breeding data from Zhanjiang, Guangdong, indicates that the current pond stock of tilapia has increased by approximately 15% year-on-year, with processing plants maintaining a daily purchase volume of 800 tons. However, export demand has clearly cooled. Last week, U.S. President Trump first threatened to impose a 100% tariff on Chinese goods, then eased his tone via social media, causing policy reversals that left importers at a loss. Liu Wei, head of a processing enterprise in Zhuhai, candidly stated: "Raw material supply is sufficient, but U.S. order volume has plummeted by 30%, and some factories are operating at less than 70% capacity." In this uncertain environment, most U.S. customers have suspended new purchase plans after November, and export enterprises are generally in a wait-and-see mode. U.S. market continues with "high inventory, low transaction" pattern In the U.S. market, although the ...
Source: Foodmate

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