South African orange exports, particularly Valencias, have experienced significant challenges due to adverse weather conditions and logistical issues, leading to unexpected outcomes. Despite initial expectations of a disaster, lemons have performed well, and oranges were expected to match or exceed a minimum price due to high orange juice prices from Brazilian disease. However, unexpectedly high harvest volumes and delivery delays caused panic among European importers, resulting in price drops and significant losses. The Citrus Growers' Association reported a 16% deficit from initial estimates, with the situation highlighting the unpredictability of fresh market prices, even with high juice prices and guaranteed minimum prices.