Global dairy markets show good signs as northern hemisphere production tightens

Published 2024년 9월 11일

Tridge summary

Global dairy markets are showing signs of resilience, with prices for September 3 showing a slight decrease but still higher than the previous year. The GDT price index experienced a slight decrease of 0.4%, largely due to a drop in whole milk powder prices, but other categories such as anhydrous milkfat, buttermilk, cheddar, mozzarella, and skim milk powder saw price increases. Improving market conditions, a more favorable exchange rate, and concerns about milk production in the northern hemisine are supporting prices. However, global supply growth is not meeting expectations due to weather risks and high feed costs, and there is concern about falling Chinese import demand, which could lead to tariffs on European and American dairy products, potentially shifting imports to New Zealand.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

Global dairy markets are showing encouraging signs, according to some agricultural economists. Although prices were down slightly at the Global Dairy Trade auction on September 3, they are still well up on the same time last year. Uncertainty about milk production in the northern hemisphere is also helping support prices. The GDT price index was down 0.4 per cent at the first auction in September, after big surges in the August auctions. The fall was mostly down to a 2.5pc drop in the whole milk powder price. But anhydrous milkfat (up 0.7pc), buttermilk (up 8.4pc), cheddar (up 0.9pc), mozzarella (up 7pc) and skim milk powder (up 4.5pc) all posted gains. Westpac's New Zealand senior economist Michael Gordon said the bank had lifted its forecast NZ farmgate price due to improving market conditions in the past few months. This reflected three positive factors. "First, world dairy prices have been fairly resilient in recent months, giving us more confidence about the outlook for the ...
Source: Farmweekly

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