Drought could threaten EU supplies of a number of agricultural products

Published 2021년 6월 18일

Tridge summary

A study by R2Water Research and Consultancy, Amsterdam University of Applied Sciences and FutureWater predicts that by 2050, 44% of the European Union's agricultural imports will be vulnerable to drought in the countries of production due to climate change. The eight major crops the EU imports are expected to be significantly impacted. The researchers suggest evaluating the vulnerability of imports regionally rather than by sector. The article also highlights Ukraine's increase in agricultural exports to the EU in 2020 and the country's risk of desertification due to climatic changes in the next 30-40 years.

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Original content

By 2050, 44% of all agricultural products that the European Union imports will be highly vulnerable to drought in producing countries. This is stated in a study by scientists from R2Water Research and Consultancy, Amsterdam University of Applied Sciences and FutureWater, published in the journal Nature Communications. "More than 44% of agricultural imports in the EU will become very vulnerable to drought in the future due to climate change. Drought rates in places where imported agricultural products are produced in 2050 will increase by 35% compared to current drought levels," the study said. The imports of eight major crops that the EU buys will be threatened: soybeans, coffee, sunflowers, corn, olives, and especially cocoa, palm oil and sugarcane. Researchers advise assessing the vulnerability of imports not by sector of production, but by region of origin. In particular, the agricultural sector in Brazil, Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand, India and Turkey will become vulnerable to ...

Source: Zol