European cereal production revised downwards

Published 2024년 11월 19일

Tridge summary

The Commission has lowered its estimates for the production of soft wheat, maize, and barley in Europe, with the most significant decreases seen in Romania for maize and France and Denmark for barley. As a result, European soft wheat and corn exports are projected to dramatically drop, while barley exports are expected to remain stable. Import levels are also anticipated to decline for soft wheat and barley, but remain stable for corn. The depreciation of the euro against the eurodollar parity since Donald Trump's presidency has led to an overall positive impact on wheat and corn prices, but it remains to be seen if this will stimulate export activities in the European market.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

The Commission has revised downwards its estimates of European production of the three main cereals. They fall to 112.6 Mt for soft wheat, 58 Mt for maize and 49.8 Mt for barley. This represents respective declines of 10% and 5.4% for soft wheat and maize compared to the 2023 harvest, and an increase of 5.4% for barley. The downward revision of European maize production is "particularly attributable to Romania", specifies Clémence Lenoir, economic research officer on major crops at FranceAgrimer. For barley, "it is linked, among other things, to the decline in production in Denmark and France". In terms of trade, European soft wheat exports are expected to fall sharply compared to the 2023/24 campaign: -29.2%, to 25 Mt. A sharp decline is also expected for corn (-38%, to 3 Mt) while barley exports would remain stable, at 10 Mt. European imports for this campaign would reach 7 Mt for soft wheat (-27% compared to 2023/24), 19 Mt for corn (stable) and 1.7 Mt for barley (-13%). "For ...
Source: TerreNet

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