Falling palm oil prices in Malaysia increase pressure on sunflower oil and sunflower prices in Ukraine

Published 2024년 12월 17일

Tridge summary

Malaysian palm oil prices are experiencing a sharp decline due to reduced demand, especially from India, which is turning to cheaper alternatives like soybean and sunflower oil. This shift is reflected in the data, showing a decrease in Malaysia's palm oil exports and an increase in India's vegetable oil imports, including sunflower and soybean oil. The drop in palm oil prices is also influenced by heavy rainfall in Malaysia delaying harvest, leading to an anticipated production decline. Concurrently, global soybean production forecasts contribute to a decrease in soybean oil futures, further impacting the palm oil market. Additionally, sunflower oil prices are under pressure from increased supplies of cheap soybean oil, while high feed corn and wheat prices are supporting sunflower meal prices, which in turn could help sunflower oil prices.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

The decline in Malaysian palm oil prices is accelerating, and yesterday February futures on the Bursa exchange fell by 1.2% to 4,758 ringgit/t or $1,070/t (-7.6% for the week) against the backdrop of reduced demand, especially from India, which has intensified purchases of cheaper soybean and sunflower oil. According to estimates by surveyors ITS and AMSPEC, Malaysia reduced its palm oil exports in the period 1-15 December compared to the same period in November by 6.7-9.8% to 660-671 thousand tons. At the same time, India increased its vegetable oil imports in November by 12% compared to October from 1.459 million tons to a record 1.628 million tons, in particular sunflower oil imports by 43% to 341.9 thousand tons, soybean oil by 20% to a 3-month high of 410 thousand tons, while palm oil imports by only 5% to 850 thousand tons. Sunflower oil imports to India increased due to active supplies of oil from the Russian Federation, the prices for which sellers were willing to lower, ...
Source: Graintrade

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