FAO: A slight increase in global grain production is expected

Published 2024년 6월 18일

Tridge summary

The FAO's initial forecast for the 2024/25 season anticipates global cereal production to reach 2,846 million tonnes, mirroring the record output of 2023/24. While corn and wheat production may decline, increases are expected in barley, rice, and sorghum. Despite uncertainties from unplanted northern hemisphere crops, global cereal utilization is projected to rise by 0.5% to 2,851 million tonnes, driven by higher rice consumption. Global cereal stocks are forecasted to grow by 1.5% to a record 897 million tonnes, though wheat stocks might drop to their lowest since 2021/22. The cereal stocks-to-use ratio should stay around 30.9%. However, global cereal trade is expected to decrease by 1.3% due to weaker maize trade, while international rice trade is set to increase significantly.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

(NAP) FAO's first forecast for the 2024/25 season (July/June) predicts that global cereal production will total 2,846 million tonnes, practically on par with the record production obtained in 2023/24. Global production of corn and wheat is forecast to decline, while that of barley, rice and sorghum is forecast to increase. In recent days, the FAO announced the publication of the first forecasts for world cereal production, but as there are still many crops to be planted in the northern hemisphere, there is a high level of uncertainty regarding these projections. This year's forecast already tests the validity of early forecasts for 2024/25 wheat production, as drought and prolonged frost in key producing areas of the Russian Federation have limited yield prospects. . Consequently, global wheat export prices increased during May due to growing production concerns, centered on the Black Sea region. Wheat, most of which is consumed as food with only a limited number of substitutes, ...

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