Global: Grain prices and forecasts continue to fall

Published 2024년 8월 1일

Tridge summary

Key points from the article:
- Stocks in Chicago and Europe hit new monthly lows
- Strategie Grains lowered its forecast for the sunflower harvest in Bulgaria
- Euronext prices continue to fall without finding any support factors
- Political and macroeconomic uncertainty is disrupting the market
- Concerns for raw material demand are increasing due to incoming data
- Downward trend in US prices continues amid fears of a trade slowdown
- Strategie Grains lowered its forecast for the EU crop for the third time in a row
- Expected production was revised down mainly in Germany, the Czech Republic, Poland, Hungary and Romania
- The European Commission also lowered its monthly forecasts for EU rapeseed and sunflower production
- Strategie Grains forecasts that EU rapeseed and sunflower stocks will be tight in 2024/25, despite upward revisions to forecast import volumes, and this should lead to higher prices in the near term.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

In short: Stocks in Chicago and Europe hit new monthly lows • Strategie Grains lowered its forecast for the sunflower harvest in Bulgaria Euronext prices continue to fall without finding any support factors. Thus, September wheat on the European exchange fell to 215 euros per ton, November corn to 205 euros per ton, and November rape was traded at 470 euros per ton. The current environment is disrupted by both political and macroeconomic uncertainty. On the one hand, the decline follows the momentum of the Chicago Stock Exchange, and on the other hand, the incoming data of the agencies increasingly strengthens concerns for many regions, which calls into question the demand for raw materials. Overseas, the downward trend in US prices continues amid fears of a trade slowdown. As Chinese purchases remain erratic, uncertainty increases and further pushes prices down. With the world picture thus created, the Black Sea origin still seems to be the best positioned, but the eyes are ...
Source: Agri

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