Russia is threatening to allow the United Nations-brokered Grain Initiative deal, which enables grain passage along the Black Sea, to expire on May 18 if the US and European Union do not lift sanctions on Moscow. This could result in increased wheat prices in Kenya, as the country relies heavily on imports, especially from Ukraine and Russia, which are a significant portion of the global wheat supply. The expiry of the deal could also have serious implications for other countries that rely on imports to cover their wheat deficit. The situation is further complicated by the SWIFT system's suspension of Moscow, affecting transactions and payments.