IGC expects world grain stocks to decline

게시됨 2024년 11월 26일

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The International Grains Council (IGC) predicts a significant decline in global grain stocks for the 2024-25 marketing year, reaching a 10-year low as consumption surpasses production. Cereal ending stocks are expected to decrease by 8 million tons to 576 million tons, a 3.5% drop from the previous year, with production at 2.311 billion tons and consumption rising by 4 million tons. Wheat and corn stocks are projected to fall by 9 million and 10 million tons, respectively, while cereal exports are anticipated to decline by 8% to 419 million tons, the lowest in six years. Despite a 2 million ton reduction in soybean production, it is set to hit a record 419 million tons, with consumption at 408 million tons, resulting in record ending stocks of 82 million tons. World rice production is forecasted to reach a record 535 million tons. The IGC Grains and Oilseeds Price Index remains stable from last month but is down 13% from the previous year. UkrAgroConsult provides a platform, AgriSupp, for market intelligence on grains and oilseeds, offering a 7-day free demo access.
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As consumption outpaces production year on year, global ending stocks of grains for the 2024-25 marketing year are forecast to fall to a 10-year low, according to the International Grains Council (IGC). In its monthly grain market report released on November 21, IGC revised total ending stocks of cereals (wheat, corn and other coarse crops) down by 8 million tons to 576 million tons, down 3.5% from a year earlier. “Cereal production is now estimated at 2.311 billion tons, down 4 million from last month, mainly due to lower forecasts for barley and wheat,” the IGC said. “World grain consumption is forecast to increase by 4 million tons (from the previous month) due to higher production in feed, food and industrial raw materials.” Wheat carryover stocks are projected to decline year-on-year by 9 million tons, while corn stocks are projected to decline by 10 million tons. IGC forecasts total cereal exports to decline year-on-year by 8% to 419 million tons. If that happens, it would ...

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