Kenya's sugar production is projected to decrease by 4% to 660,000 MT in MY 2022/23 due to higher fertilizer prices reducing fertilizer application and lower yields, despite an increase in harvested area. Private mills, which account for 80% of total sugar production, are expanding, leading to increased yields and processing efficiency. Consumption is expected to rise by 5% to 1.15 million MT as consumers return to restaurants and hotels following COVID-19 restrictions. Kenya plans to import 500,000 MT of sugar to meet the increased demand, primarily from COMESA countries, and has set an annual limit of 180,000 MT for raw sugar imports. Imported sugar is subject to a 100% tariff, except for refined sugar used in manufacturing goods for export, which is subject to a 10% tariff discount.