Lowest wheat harvest in over a decade: what USDA predicts for Ukraine

Published 2025년 4월 26일

Tridge summary

Ukraine's wheat harvest for the 2025/26 marketing year is projected to hit a 13-year low at 17.9 million tons, a 23% drop from the previous year, due to dry soils and reduced sowing areas. In contrast, Russia's wheat production is expected to remain stable, ranging between 79.7 million and 82.5 million tons. Despite the potential for favorable weather to improve conditions, the USDA's initial forecasts are concerning, particularly as Ukrainian wheat exports are anticipated to fall significantly from record levels.

Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

According to the USDA office in Kyiv, Ukraine's wheat harvest in 2025/26 MY will be at 17.9 million tons, which is the lowest figure in 13 years and 23% less than last year's harvest. This was reported by Reuters market analyst Karen Brown, writes latifundist.com This is due to the fact that the soils were extremely dry during the sowing season, and low profitability reduced the area sown. Russian agencies are currently forecasting the wheat harvest in 2025/26 MY in the range of 79.7 million to 82.5 million tons, with the latter figure almost corresponding to last year's level. "Favourable weather could further improve crop ...

Source: Agravery