A report by supply chain services brokerage Czarnikow warns that US elections could disrupt Mexican sugar exports with a potential 25% tariff on Mexican and Canadian goods by the new Trump administration. This could lead to a US sugar deficit and increase in prices, making imports with tariffs economically viable. Brazil, the world's largest sugar producer, could benefit from this situation. However, Czarnikow's chief analyst, Stephen Geldart, questions the likelihood of Trump prioritizing political objectives over economic consequences.