Brazil: After five months on the rise, milk price should drop by 7% in November

Published 2020년 11월 18일

Tridge summary

The article forecasts a decrease in milk prices for Brazilian producers in November, with a potential drop of 5% to 7% from October, due to weak consumption and high prices of dairy derivatives. This decrease is attributed to pressure from distribution channels and is expected to be part of a seasonal trend, although climatic conditions and the effect of La Niña may affect this. Import activities have seen fluctuations, with a decrease in total acquisitions in October, primarily due to a drop in cheese and whey purchases. However, powdered milk imports have significantly increased compared to the previous year. Despite the domestic price drop and attractive exchange rate, the limited supply of raw materials may limit exports of dairy products, although there has been an increase in October.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

After five months of high, the price of milk is expected to fall in November. According to the Center for Advanced Studies in Applied Economics (Cepea), the amount paid to the producer in November, referring to the capture of October, can be between 5% and 7% below that registered in the previous month. According to the entity, the values of milk in the field obey a seasonal trend, related to the availability of rainfall and pasture. "This means that, typically, it is expected that, at the end of the year, this trend reversal will occur", he says, in a bulletin. However, in 2020, the resumption of production has not occurred intensely, since the climatic conditions were less favorable. “Even so, in the first and second half of October, there was a greater supply of spot milk (negotiated between industries) in Minas Gerais, so that the monthly average fell 16.8% compared to September / 20, going to R $ 2 , 23 / liter ”, he informs. But, according to agents consulted by Cepea, the ...
Source: CanalRural

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