USA: Pig outlook - lean hog futures bulls are snorting

Published 2024년 4월 7일

Tridge summary

The agricultural and food industry is experiencing a variety of developments, including new contract highs for June lean hog futures, indicating a robust hog market. Despite this, there's been heavy selling in the cattle market, with the CME cash hog index at $85.15 and a recent slip in wholesale pork prices after a peak. Beef net sales are up, mainly to South Korea and Japan, while pork net sales have seen a decline, with Mexico as the primary buyer. These exports are crucial for the U.S. corn and soybean industries, contributing $18.1 billion in 2023. Additionally, there's been a second recent human case of bird flu in Texas linked to infected dairy cattle, though the public risk is low. The USDA reports a slight increase in the hog herd compared to last year. Other issues include a slight rise in the pig population and winter pig crop, debates over lab-grown meat bans in several states, and a lawsuit against the FDA regarding the use of ractopamine in farm animals, a feed additive with potential health and environmental concerns.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

June lean hog futures surged to new contract highs this week. The technical are fully bullish to suggest more upside in the near term. The resilience that lean hog futures have shown in the face of heavy selling in the cattle market is a testament to the present strength of the hog market. The latest CME cash hog index is $84.92 (as of April 1), while the preliminary calculation puts the index up another 23 cents to $85.15 for today. After surging to a fresh for-the-move high Tuesday, wholesale pork prices slipped Wednesday. But movement of fresh pork has been good. While movement improved to 274.6 loads Wednesday, retailer buying has been tepid, suggesting they are being selective buyers with the cutout in the mid- to upper-$90.00 range. Beef: Net sales of 18,700 MT for 2024 were up 48 percent from the previous week and 53 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases were primarily for South Korea (6,100 MT, including decreases of 400 MT), Japan (5,000 MT, including decreases ...
Source: Thepigsite

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