Global pig outlook: Lean hog futures bulls keep price uptrend alive

Published 2024년 3월 15일

Tridge summary

The global swine industry is experiencing various shifts, with April lean hog futures prices on an uptrend and the CME lean hog index reaching its highest since October 2023. Despite a Tyson plant closure and job losses, pork exports are expected to rise by 4.8% in 2024. China's swine industry suffered in 2023 due to overproduction and African Swine Fever (ASF) outbreaks, leading to a decline in production. The EU's pork supply is forecasted to rebound in 2024, with Spain, the world's largest pork exporter in 2022, expecting an increase in pig crop and domestic slaughter. However, the German and French swine sectors face restructuring, and Romania has approved a 'Pig Law' to control ASF spread.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

April lean hog futures prices are still in a 2.5-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. However, bulls need to show fresh power soon to keep their technical edge and to keep the uptrend in place. The latest CME lean hog index is up 20 cents to $81.61 (as of Mar. 11), while the preliminary calculation puts the index up another 41 cents Thursday, at $82.02. That would mark a new for-the-move high and the highest quote for the index since Oct. 12, 2023. The strength in the cash index suggests seasonal strength in the cash hog market will continue. Retailer demand for pork has been robust and is likely to continue to support cash market fundamentals in the near term. The closure will result in the loss of 1,276 jobs, with the plant scheduled to shut down on June 28. The plant, which processed approximately 9,000 hogs per day, cited a need to optimize operational efficiency to better serve customers as the reason for the closure. The United Food and Commercial Workers union ...
Source: Thepigsite

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