World: Pig outlook, lean hog futures bulls may be getting tired

Published 2024년 11월 8일

Tridge summary

December lean hog futures have hit a contract high but face selling pressure, indicating a potential market peak. The CME lean hog index has risen for 14 days due to strong cash market performance amid expected lower US pork production in Q4, though seasonal weakness is anticipated. US pork sales for 2024 are low, with reduced sales to Mexico and China. An Oregon farm detected H5N1 in pigs, prompting USDA to expand bird flu surveillance, highlighting cross-species transmission risks. Meanwhile, soybean meal and corn futures show a slight upward trend, with soybean meal expected to range between $293.10 and $310.00 and corn between $4.10 and $4.34 1/4, both with a sideways to higher bias.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

December lean hog futures prices last week soared to a contract high amid a steep price uptrend in still place. While the lean hog futures bulls have the solid near-term technical advantage, the recent selling pressure begins to suggest the bulls are getting tired in this very mature bull market run. It’s my bias that the hog futures market has, or is close to, topping out. The latest CME lean hog index is up another 45 cents to $90.24 as of Nov. 5, the 14th straight daily gain and $8.115 above Wednesday’s closing price in December hog futures. The strength in the cash market has proven stronger than traders expected as the market continues to try to determine how much smaller fourth-quarter US pork production is going to be than previously anticipated. Still, many traders anticipate the return of seasonal weakness in the cash hog market. Pork: Net US sales reductions of 14,700 MT for 2024--a marketing-year low--were down noticeably from the previous week and from the prior ...
Source: Thepigsite

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