European olive oil production is projected to recover, which could lead to a 20% decrease in prices in Brazil by 2025. Brazil's reliance on European imports makes it vulnerable to global production fluctuations. Favorable harvest expectations in major producing countries like Spain, Tunisia, Turkey, and Greece contribute to the anticipated market balance and price drop. However, the sector faces challenges, including climate change, with Italy experiencing significant droughts that could reduce its production by up to 32%. Despite these challenges, the quality of Italian olive oil remains high. The sector is investing in agricultural models and water monitoring technologies to mitigate climate impacts and ensure sustainability.