Global: Contracted field crop margins will continue in 2024

Published 2023년 12월 18일

Tridge summary

Rabobank predicts contracted field crop margins globally in 2023 and 2024, with good outlook for soybean farmers but challenges for corn and wheat farmers. Prices will be affected by healthy production in the United States and good prospects in Argentina and Brazil, leading to price volatility. The end of the Black Sea Grain Initiative and ongoing challenges from war have impacted Ukraine's agricultural exports, with price volatility being the only certainty.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

Despite recent decreases in key operating costs, Rabobank said contracted field crop margins persisted globally in 2023 and will continue into 2024. The outlook is still good for soybean farmers, but not so much for corn and wheat farmers, according to Rabobank’s Field crop margin outlook 2024. Soybeans are likely to achieve good margins with costs moving lower and higher prices compared to historical figures. While corn margins saw a mild recovery in 2023, farmers will face some challenges in 2024, Rabobank said. Prices will feel the pressure of healthy production in the United States and good prospects in Argentina and Brazil. Wheat margins also improved in 2023 but farmers need to be extra cautious in the coming cycle, Rabobank said. It is forecasting a drop in wheat margins, though they should remain at good levels. Markets are at a crossroads and prices could move in either direction, Rabobank said. Grain and oilseed prices began to decline in 2023 following the confirmation ...

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