Rabobank's report highlights a remarkable year for the global beef industry in 2022, marked by record retail and farmgate prices due to elevated demand and limited supplies, with Brazil achieving record exports, particularly to China. However, a shift in consumer sentiment led to a PRICEDEL in early 2023. The first quarter of 2023 anticipates steady production, albeit with declines in the U.S., EU, and New Zealand, offset by increases in Australia and Brazil.
Looking ahead, global supply is expected to constrain, especially with a anticipated dip in U.S. production. China's reopening and shifting consumer trends, such as growing beef demand and e-commerce sales, are key developments for 2023. The report also emphasizes the effects of the recent Brazilian beef export ban to China and the potential redirection of trade towards Australia and New Zealand, with Australia poised to increase exports, particularly in chilled beef, and New Zealand to capitalize on the prepared dish market.