The Philippines is projected to see a significant decrease in raw sugar production in the upcoming crop year, with an estimated decline of seven percent to 1.782 million metric tons, marking the lowest output in 25 years. This reduction is attributed to the impacts of El Niño, which have led to hotter and drier weather conditions, affecting sugarcane growth. As a result, the Sugar Regulatory Administration (SRA) is considering an all-‘B’ allocation for the sugar produced, meaning it will be reserved for domestic consumption. In anticipation of this shortfall, the SRA is also permitting the importation of 240,000 metric tons of refined sugar to make up for the deficit. Despite the expected drop in domestic production, industry sources predict that retail sugar prices will remain stable due to carry-over stocks and the expected arrival of imported refined sugar.