Regional variation in 2025 UK area forecasts: Grain market daily

Published 2024년 12월 13일

Tridge summary

The article highlights the publication of the final results of the AHDB's Early Bird Survey (EBS) for 2024, which provides forecasts for the UK's area, yield, and production of key crops such as wheat, barley, oats, and oilseed rape. These forecasts, which have seen only minor adjustments from last month's provisional results, are based on planting intentions and early plantings up to early November. The data shows varying changes in cropped areas and uncropped land across the UK, with some regions experiencing challenges in establishing winter cereal crops due to wet weather. The article also emphasizes the need for monitoring local basis to determine new crop prices, as shifts in cropping patterns are expected to affect pricing relationships.

Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

Sign up to receive the Weekly Market Report and Grain Market Daily from AHDB. Yesterday, Defra released full 2024 UK area, yield and production data; read more here. Following this data’s release, we have finalised the results of our Early Bird Survey (EBS), including publishing regional information. The headline forecasts for wheat, barley, oats and oilseed rape are little changed from last month’s provisional results. The largest change for these crops is for oilseed rape (+5Kha) and all these changes reflect the incorporation of the finalised 2024 areas. Please be aware that no new surveying has taken place; the data reflects planting intentions and plantings to date as of early November. Most data was collected by 11 November, though results were received up to 15 November. While typically, adjustments are made to the final EBS forecasts to allow for any weighting differences (crop mix or regions) between the survey area and official data, none are applied this year. The large ...

Source: Ahdb