Robusta coffee traders in Brazil are nervous about prolonged shortages and rising prices

Published 2023년 5월 31일

Tridge summary

Robusta coffee prices, which reached a 15-year high in May, are expected to remain tight until next year due to low supplies, particularly from Asia. Despite Brazil's optimistic export prospects for the second half of the year, traders believe that even its maximum forecasted exports of 3 million bags might not be sufficient to cover the shortfall. The situation is worsened by Vietnam's depleting stocks and anticipated disappointing crop from Indonesia, the world's largest and second largest exporters of Robusta, respectively. The USDA expects a 20% drop in Indonesia's production and Vietnam's exports to hit a three-year low. The increased demand for Robusta, which is cheaper and can be used as a substitute in blends, also contributes to the high prices.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

LONDON (Reuters) - Robusta coffee traders, who saw prices hit 15-year highs in May, fear supplies of the bitter bean used to make instant coffee will remain tight until next year. Brazil, the world's third largest exporter, has already begun harvesting its 2023/24 crop, and traders had pinned their hopes on the country covering the shortfall caused by low supplies from Asia. The Brazilian group of coffee exporters Cecafe remains optimistic about export prospects, saying that they should increase notably in the second half of the year. However, traders and experts say robusta supplies are so tight in Asia that even 3m bags exported from Brazil - the upper limit of their forecasts - might not be enough to cover the gap. "If there were 5 million bags (of robusta exports from Brazil) you could (see) a drop in prices, but realistically we are going to see unprecedented shortages that will last until next year," said a coffee analyst. in a world trading house. The shortage comes as top ...

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