US: Soybean and palm oil prices continue to increase despite lower oil prices

Published 2023년 5월 4일

Tridge summary

Due to the US Fed's interest rate increase and the anticipated US economic recession, traders are shying away from investing in stocks and oil futures, leading to a further drop in oil prices. However, speculative buying of soybean and palm oil is on the rise, driven by the expectation of increased imports by China and India. As a result, July Brent and WTI oil futures have seen a significant decline, while July palm oil and July soybean futures have risen. India has adjusted its import strategies, reducing palm oil imports by 30% in April due to high prices, and increasing soybean and sunflower oil imports. The current month has seen a 69% and 2.3% rise in sunflower and soy oil imports, respectively, while palm oil's share in total vegetable oil imports has fallen below 50% for the first time since July 2022.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

Against the backdrop of an increase in the US Fed's interest rate to 5-5.25% and in anticipation of a recession in the US economy, traders are unwilling to invest in stocks and oil futures, as a result of which oil prices fell another 4-4.4% after the previous decline by 5-5.6%. At the same time, traders stepped up speculative purchases of soybean and palm oil, hoping for increased imports by China and India. Yesterday, July Brent oil futures on the London ICE exchange fell another 4% to $72.4/barrel (-9.3% in two days), and WTI oil on the New York exchange fell by 4. 4% to $68.5/barrel (-10% in two days) as traders do not expect an increase in demand in the near future. July palm oil futures on Bursa Malaysia rose 0.26% to 3,430 ringgit/t or $771/t yesterday. July soybean futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange rose 1.5% to $1,159/t yesterday, as traders invested more actively in agricultural assets than in oil, which continues to fall in price. Under the pressure of low ...
Source: Graintrade

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