Speculative fluctuations in grain and oilseed prices will increase due to uncertainty about duties and harvest in South America

Published 2025년 1월 30일

Tridge summary

Chicago Board of Trade futures for corn, wheat, and soybeans rose despite potential fundamental factors, driven by President Trump's possible 25% duty on imports from Canada and Mexico, and the belief that Mexico does not believe in the imposition of these duties. This situation is coupled with delays in soybean harvesting and corn planting in Brazil, potential trade wars, new trade agreements, drought in Argentina, and weather conditions in Brazil impacting soybeans and corn. Additionally, a decrease in U.S. ethanol production and an increase in stocks, alongside forecasts of precipitation in Argentina and dry weather in Brazil, are influencing market sentiments. The article also discusses the possibility of an increase in wheat prices due to potential reductions in the U.S. harvest, but these prices may fall with USDA reports on crop conditions.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

Futures for corn, wheat and soybeans on the Chicago Board of Trade rose yesterday despite strong pressure from fundamental factors, as traders focused on Trump’s possible imposition of a 25% duty on imports from Canada and Mexico on February 1. the President of Mexico said that she does not believe in the introduction of duties from the United States, which supported the stock price of corn. Corn futures rose to a 15-month high, wheat to a 6-week high, and soybeans to a six-month high amid delays in soybean harvesting and corn planting in Brazil. March futures rose: Press Secretary of the White house Carolyn Leavitt confirmed the intention of trump to impose duties on goods from Canada and Mexico from February 1, and plans to introduce new duties on products from China. Duties can trigger trade wars and mirror measures, as well as facilitate the conclusion of new trade agreements. StoneX experts believe that the main question now is whether the US and China will conclude an ...

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