Strategie Grains lowers EU rapeseed and sunseed crop estimates

게시됨 2024년 9월 3일

Tridge 요약

Strategie Grains has once again lowered its forecast for the EU's rapeseed harvest to 16.9 million metric tons, marking the fourth consecutive reduction and a significant decline from last year. The consultancy also cut its forecast for the EU sunflower crop to 9.3 million tons due to adverse weather. Similarly, the European Commission reduced its rapeseed production forecast to 18.0 million tons. Despite improved industrial margins for rapeseed crushing, demand remains lower than the previous year due to reduced production and stocks. Consequently, prices for sunseed and rapeseed are expected to rise amid a large seed and vegetable oil deficit in the EU and tight global vegetable oil supplies.
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원본 콘텐츠

Strategie Grains lowered its monthly forecast for this year’s rapeseed harvest in the European Union, its fourth successive reduction, as the EU is set to increase imports this season to compensate for the loss. The consultancy estimates the EU rapeseed harvest at 16.9 million metric tons, 340,000 tons below its estimate released late July and more than 15% below last year’s level. Expected production was revised down mainly in France, Germany, the Baltic States, Hungary, and Slovakia, it said. “The EU rapeseed balance is forecast very tight in 2024/25 with relatively large deficits in the main EU exporting/consuming countries,” the consultancy said. Improved industrial margins for rapeseed crushing in the EU as well as the decline in sunseed crushing, are sustaining demand for rapeseed crushing, although it remains sharply below 2023/24 due to lower production and stocks, it said. The European Commission last week also reduced its monthly forecasts of EU rapeseed production, ...

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