Sugar: market remains volatile, awaiting a reaction in demand

Published 2025년 3월 11일

Tridge summary

The US-China trade war has had minimal impact on the sugar market, with stability in prices due to limited trade between the two countries. The robust delivery of the March contract and increased exports from Central America have eased supply concerns, leading to a slight decrease in contract prices. China's sugar production is on the rise, with a decrease in imports expected to continue through December 2024. India has reached half of its sugar export quota, with export parity achieved and further sales dependent on price increases. The Central-South region of Brazil, a key sugar producer, faced below-average rainfall but still enjoys better conditions compared to the previous season, thanks to sufficient soil moisture from the previous months. However, recent dry conditions raise concerns about the potential impact on the harvest.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

Over the past week, the trade war between the US and China has generated volatility in the commodities market, but sugar has remained relatively stable, as it is not a commodity that is traded significantly between the two countries. As such, most of the price adjustments were attributed to the robust delivery of the March contract. “Regarding deliveries, Central America’s increased share of exports eased concerns about short-term supply, with the May/25 contract closing at 18.3c/lb, below the March level. Supply remains tight, and demand has been pushing prices down, despite the potential for a recovery in the May contract if demand picks up,” notes Lívea Coda, Market Intelligence Coordinator at Hedgepoint Global Markets. China China reached 9.7 million tonnes of sugar through February, with a significant increase in production, with the trend of lower imports seen continuing through December 2024. The May contract is at a delicate point, with Chinese import arbitrage ...

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