Swine fever and wheat feed threaten demand for soybean meal in China

Published 2021년 4월 16일

Tridge summary

China's feed producers have increased wheat purchases to replace corn, leading to a decrease in demand for alternative feeds like soybean meal. The country is expected to use up to 40 million tonnes of wheat for feed in the 2020/21 harvest, replacing the same amount of corn and displacing over 4 million tonnes of soybean meal. This shift is expected to continue for a few more weeks, with an additional 30-40 million tonnes of wheat expected to go to the feed sector in 2021/22. The pressure on soybean meal comes at a time when China is importing millions of tonnes of soybeans from Brazil. Chinese crushers are projected to lose 50-200 yuan for every ton of soybeans processed due to current prices.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

China's wheat feed for pigs and poultry has reduced demand for alternative feeds and changed the market outlook for soybean meal and other essential ingredients used by the country's huge feed industry, analysts and traders said. Chinese feed producers have dramatically increased wheat purchases in recent months to replace corn, which rose by more than a third last year to a rare wheat premium after a drop in corn production and state stocks last season . Increased use of wheat in feed, which has more protein than corn, also reduced demand for soybean meal, the main source of protein in livestock feed, raising questions about China's appetite for soybeans, while American farmers prepare to commit more than 87 million acres to the crop. "Demand for soybean meal in general is very bad. It is recovering, but very slowly," said Zou Honglin, an analyst at trade site Myagric.com. "One reason is African swine fever, the other key factor is the large-scale replacement of wheat by corn in ...

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