Droughts in Mexico and potential tariffs proposed by President Trump could further strain the sugar export relationship between Mexico and the United States. Mexican sugar exports to the U.S. are projected to hit a 17-year low in 2025, leading to a decrease in market share. The U.S. sugar industry, regulated to protect farmers and prevent foreign flooding, has relied on Mexican supplies until recent droughts and lower tariffs. The proposed 25% tariff under the North American Trade Agreement could exacerbate the situation, leading to increased imports from countries like Brazil and a rush to buy Mexican sugar before the tariffs take effect.