Spain: The arrival of the harvest puts an end to the rebounds in the market

Published 2024년 6월 11일

Tridge summary

Large investment funds have contributed to significant price increases in the agricultural market, particularly in crops like wheat and corn, due to their 'short' position and predictions of droughts affecting harvest expectations. However, these price hikes are not based on physical market conditions as buyers are well-covered. The USDA report indicates a decrease in global wheat and corn stocks, with production drops in major countries like Russia and Ukraine, but with more optimistic forecasts for Argentina and India. In Spain, cereal production is expected to double in regions such as Castilla y León despite a reduction in planting area. The article also discusses changes in pricing strategies for national grain, particularly in regions like Castilla y León, where grain will be transported to more peripheral areas, impacting the price calculation. It is anticipated that these changes will influence trading strategies and market dynamics with the approaching harvest.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

In recent weeks there have been significant increases in prices, mainly due to the movements made by large investment funds, which were in a 'short' situation, with more sales made than purchases, and which have chosen to make acquisitions. The so-called 'weather market' plays an important role here. The hints of drought have had an influence, with a reduction in harvest expectations in different producing regions. The USDA report points to a reduction in global wheat stocks, with a drop in production in giants such as Russia and Ukraine, while forecasts are somewhat more optimistic for Argentina or India. In the case of corn, global stocks could also be reduced, with a drop in production in countries like Brazil or, again, Ukraine. In reality, these increases have no real support and have not been transferred to the physical, since buyers are covered. The national market is paralyzed, given that there is coverage until the new harvest; Buyers know that stocks from last year's ...
Source: Campocyl

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