The volume of rapeseed imports into China will decrease by 60% in 2025.

The volume of rapeseed imports into China in 2025 will be about 2.5 million tons, which is approximately 60% less compared to 2024. The article shows that the volume of rapeseed imports into China will decrease by 60% year-on-year in 2025, which will lead to a shortage of raw materials for the production of rapeseed oil and an increase in processing costs, which significantly contributes to the rise in spot prices. Based on data on rapeseed oil futures (for example, the closing price of contract 2605 at 9215 yuan/ton, the estimated price at 9186 yuan/ton, a decrease of 70 yuan), it can be concluded that despite the current market pressure, the expectation of a supply reduction will contribute to the future recovery of futures prices, with long-term positive factors prevailing. A significant reduction in rapeseed imports also reduces the supply of rapeseed meal, increases production costs, and contributes to the upward trend in spot prices. Judging by the data on ...