Ukrainian watermelons are dominating the Belarusian market despite higher export costs and VAT rates, offering ultra-low prices that are more competitive than Russian watermelons. The cost of transporting watermelons from Ukraine to Belarus has increased, but Ukrainian Kherson watermelons are still more price competitive than Russian Astrakhan ones. Belarus relies heavily on watermelon imports, traditionally sourcing from Russia and Kazakhstan, but in 2021, Ukraine has become the leading supplier, exporting over 3,000 tons to Belarus in the first two weeks alone. This is a significant increase from 2019 when Ukraine exported only 379 tons. The influx of Ukrainian watermelons is helping to stabilize producer prices in Ukraine and is expected to increase export shipments. However, the Belarusian market is experiencing a decline in watermelon prices due to the increased supply from Ukraine.