Ukraine to increase exports of grains and oilseeds to 49 mln tons – UGA

is an optimistic scenario, the realization of which depends on resolving serious logistics problems. Ukraine is currently experiencing significant challenges in grain export logistics due to constant Russian terrorist attacks on critical infrastructure – energy, railways, and Ukraine’s seaports. As a result of Russian strikes on civilian infrastructure, railways and ports cannot operate at full capacity due to damage to their infrastructure, electricity shortages, and constant blackouts. Obviously, the inability to export significant volumes of the harvested crop due to logistics problems will have an extremely negative impact on Ukrainian agricultural producers and prices in the domestic market. It could also deal a severe blow to Ukraine’s economy and its balance of payments. Wheat: UGA estimates the 2025 wheat crop at 22.5 MMT (22.4 MMT in 2024). Potential wheat exports in the 2025/2026 MY could reach 16.5 MMT. Barley: according to UGA estimates, the 2025 barley crop is 4.9 MMT ...